Murphys, 1992
The Irish Collection (John Hine)
Size: 5 1/2 x 4 1/4 x 3 inches
Originally $100, in stock at $100
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This is the house in which the noted Mr Murphy lived in about 1838. As everybody in the world knows, Mr Murphy wrote and published a Weather Almanac which predicted the timperature and condition for each day of the coming year. He was either acquainted with a branch of science of which only he was aware or he was confoundedly lucky because he was spectacularly successful at getting the odd day or two right. For instance, he correctly foretold that the 20th day of January would be the coldest day of the year and warned horticulturalists to protect their semi-hardy plants. This gained a massive amount of publicity in all the newspapers which were full of his extradinary powers.
   Meanwhile, Mr Murphy cashed in handsomely by sellling a huge number of his Weather Almanacs; in fact he pocketed no less than £3,000 which was a vast amount of money and would have enabled him to become a landed gentleman with a great house, many servants and horses.
   However, if anybody had bothered to go into his predictions with more care and counted the number of days when he got it right and those on which he was hopelessly wrong, they would have found he was miles off the mark about 60% of the time -- not even as good as the odds on tossing a coin. It's called "the luck of Murphys."